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Election 2012: NDN Wins The Hill's Election Prediction Contest for the 2nd Time
A fun one today. I learned yesterday that I won The Hill's 2012 election prediction contest for the second time in the last four years (I also won in 2008). My winning predictions forecast that President Obama would win with 332 electoral votes, win the popular vote 51-48 and the Democrats would end up with 53 in the Senate and 200 in the House. While not perfect, came pretty close to nailing it on Tuesday night.
While here, be sure to check out this other analysis from us about 2012 and the big changes happening in American politics today:
1) Simon's 11/7 Post Election Briefing (Video) - On Wed, I hosted a live web discussion via Spreecast on the 2012 election and the path forward. In case you missed it, you can find the recording here. I present for about 20 minutes and then takes questions for another 25 minutes or so. Enjoy.
2) Simon's Election Day Memo - Please my 2012 election day here, which offers a wide range of observations about the 2012 election and where we go from here.
3) Forward, Or Backward? - In September, I wrote an essay for leading Latin American journal Letras Libres that argues that the modern Republican Party's problems are much more than demographic.
4) The 50 Year Strategy: A New Progressive Era (No, Really!), Mother Jones. November/December 2007. The seminal long-form article by Simon and Peter Leyden which made the case that big changes in demography, media and technology and in the issues in front of the American people was opening a new and promising political age for the American center-left.
5) Additional Resources - Visit here for a broader set of NDN election resources, including a series of essays from demographic experts Morley Winograd and Mike Hais.