NDN Blog

Iowa and New Hampshire Voter Turnout by Political Party

Key Findings

-2016 Democrat voter turnout for the Iowa Caucus totaled 172,000 Democrats as compared to the 240,000 Democrats who caucused in 2008. 

-2016 Democrat voter turnout for the New Hampshire Primary totaled 251,000 Democrats as compared to the 288,000 Democrats who participated in 2008.

-2016 Republican voter turnout for the Iowa Caucus totaled 180,000 Republicans as compared to the 119,188 Republicans who caucused in 2008.

-2016 Republican voter turnout for the New Hampshire Primary totaled 284,120 Republicans as compared to the 241,039 Republicans who participated in 2008.

Sources

Sahil Kupar, "Bernie Sanders' Political Revolution Is Off to a Slow Start," Bloomberg Politics, 2/11/16.

Domenico Montanaro, "New Hampshire Turnout Breaks Records, But Not On Democratic Side," NPR, 2/10/16.

Jason Clayworth, "Caucus turnout: Robust, record-setting and surprising," Des Moines Register, 2/2/16.

Brian Mooney, "GOP voter turnout down in N.H., Iowa," Boston Globe, 1/16/12.

 

Tufts/CIRCLE's new Millennial report

The US's foremost academic center for the study of youth engagement in politics, Tufts University's CIRCLE, has put out a must read study looking at where this all important vote is likely to most influence the vote in 2016.

"Parties and other political groups often overlook the votes and energy of young people even where youth can have a decisive influence on the outcome of the race. CIRCLE is providing data-driven insights about the states and congressional districts where youth are posied to have a disproportionately high electoral impact in 2016."

The top ten states where the youth vote will impact the 2016 presidential election are: Iowa, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Colorado, Wisconsin, Virginia, Florida, North Carolina, and Nevada.

2016 Voter Turnout in Iowa Caucus and New Hampshire Primary

In Iowa, 15.7 percent of all registered voters caucused for either the Republican or Democratic Party.  In New Hampshire, according to projections by New Hampshire Secretary of State William Gardner, approximately 62.3 percent of those registered to vote cast ballots in the New Hampshire Primary.

It should be noted that Iowa, with over 3.1 million people, is a more populous state than New Hampshire, where approximately 1.3 million people live. 

  

NDN Analysis Featured in Greg Sargent's Washington Post Column

A very smart Greg Sargent piece today in the Washington Post about lessons Democrats need to learn from Bernie Sander's remarkable campaign contains this passage: 

"Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg has suggested that Clinton, who has rolled out robust campaign finance and voting reform proposals, needs to get back to highlighting that agenda while linking it to an argument that only someone with her deep knowledge of the system can reform it in fundamental and profound ways from the inside."

You can read the piece Greg is refering to here.  The key graph: 

Clinton and Political Reform – One of the more puzzling elements of the 2016 campaign is why Hillary Clinton hasn’t run more aggressively on her very ambitious and thoughtful political reform agenda. I think there is an obvious way to turn her experience and understanding of the dark side of politics into a broader argument that it takes an insider to fix the system from the inside. She can not only run on her articulated plans, but could commit to suspending the foundation if she were to become the nominee and closing it if elected, leading a government wide effort to modernize the treatment of data and email in a new cyber age, tying Congressional pay to getting budgets done on time (no budget no pay), creating a minimum number of days Congress must be in session each cycle, etc. The reforms she could offer to change the system have to be biting, real, and bring about real change. While I think she is smart to hug Obama and offer continuity as a matter of core strategy, this is one area she should offer a sharper break with him. Trump, Sanders and Cruz all are offering some version of a radical overhaul of the system. She needs to join this chorus in her own way, recognizing that part of her argument – first women President – is unlikely to be sufficient.

Simon Talks with Matt Lewis, Author of "Too Dumb to Fail"

Last week Simon sat down with conservative author Matt Lewis for a long discussion about the modernization efforts of the center-left over the past generation, and how conservatives may learn from it.  It is well worth a listen.

Matt's new book, "Too Dumb to Fail," has received substantial praise from across the political spectrum.  You can get a copy of your very own here

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