Earlier, Simon mentioned that he could look at the map on RCP all day, showing Obama/Biden 273 - McCain/Palin 265. However, polls released in 11 of the 12 swing states today show the race being within two points. U.S. Sen. John McCain holds a narrow margin in Ohio and is tied in two of the three Florida polls.
This week, U.S. Sen. Barack Obama's campaign in New Mexico has taken a 7-point lead in McCain's backyard. However, polls in New Hampshire, which voted narrowly for John Kerry in 2004, show McCain up three points. New Hampshire, which has been a historically strong state for McCain, could put a dent into the Democratic domination of the northeast if this margin holds.
COLORADO (National Journal/FD): Obama - 45%, McCain - 44%.
COLORADO (Insider Advantage): Obama - 51%, McCain - 41%, Others - 2%.
FLORIDA (National Journal/FD): Obama - 44%, McCain - 44%.
FLORIDA (SurveyUSA): McCain - 51%, Obama - 45%, Others - 1%.
FLORIDA (ARG): Obama - 46%, McCain - 46%, Others - 3%.
INDIANA (Indianapolis Star/Selzer): Obama - 47%, McCain - 44%, Barr - 2%, Nader - 1%.
INDIANA (Univ of Wisconsin): McCain - 47%, Obama - 43%, Others - 2%.
MICHIGAN (Univ of Wisconsin): Obama - 44%, McCain - 41%, Others - 1%.
MINNESOTA (Univ of Wisconsin): Obama - 45%, McCain - 43%, Others - 2%.
MISSOURI (ARG): McCain - 50%, Obama - 45%.
NEVADA (ARG): McCain - 49%, Obama - 46%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG): McCain - 48%, Obama - 45%, Others - 1%.
NEW MEXICO (National Journal/FD): Obama - 49%, McCain - 42%.
NEW MEXICO (ARG): Obama - 51%, McCain - 44%.
OHIO (National Journal): McCain - 42%, Obama - 41%.
OHIO (Univ of Wisconsin): McCain - 43%, Obama - 42%, Others - 2%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Univ of Wisconsin): Obama - 43%, McCain - 42%, Others - 1%
WISCONSIN (Univ of Wisconsin): Obama - 42%, McCain - 41%, Others - 1%
The six polls conducted by the University of Wisconsin in Big Ten states also asked respondents how bad they thought their team would beat the Michigan Wolverines this year as they adjust to Coach Rich Rodriguez's spread offense, after their loss to Notre Dame (Average answer: 72 points).