During his first inaugural address in 1933, President Roosevelt said these now-famous words:
"So, first of all, let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is fear itself -- nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance."
He was addressing a nation plunged into economic despair, a nation searching for someone to blame for these financial woes, a nation that was scared of massive technological shifts already underway, a nation open to demagogues.
Fast forwward to the Republican Convention in St. Paul in 2008. By any standard, it was a huge marketing success. Enormous flags on jumbotron screens. A homogenous audience that looks nothing like our country does today. What was the underlying theme of the Republican Convention? We don't have to change. We can turn back the clock and keep things just the way they were. When she spoke, Gov. Sarah Plain expertly played the crowd:
I grew up with those people. They're the ones who do some of the hardest work in America, who grow our food, and run our factories, and fight our wars. They love their country in good times and bad, and they're always proud of America.
New York Times columnist Frank Rich writes today about this fear of change in an excellent column. He notes the Republicans' use of peoples' fear of the demographic tidal wave headed our way that will leave whites the minority in the United States by 2042.
He also includes a paragraph on a favored Republican scapegoat: illegal immigrants.
And, last but hardly least, fear of illegal immigrants who do the low-paying jobs that Americans don’t want to do and of legal immigrants who do the high-paying jobs that poorly educated Americans are not qualified to do. No less revealing than Palin’s convention invocation of Pegler was the pointed omission of any mention of immigration, once the hottest Republican issue, by either her or McCain. Saying the word would have cued an eruption of immigrant-bashing ugliness, Pegler-style, before a national television audience. That wouldn’t play in the swing states of Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada, where Obama already has a more than 2-to-1 lead among Hispanic voters. (Bush captured roughly 40 percent of the Hispanic vote in 2004.)
In his paragraph on illegal immigrants, Rich links to a USA TODAY report about new polls NDN released last week. The polls, conducted by long-time NDN collaborator and pollster Sergio Bendixen, show overwhelming support for comprehensive immigration reform in four key battleground states: Florida, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada. The polls also show that U.S. Sen. Barack Obama holds a significant lead over U.S. Sen. John McCain among Hispanics in these states.
To learn more about why these four states matter so much in the new politics of the 21st century, read our report from earlier this year, Hispanics Rising II.
It's clear that the southwest and states with heavy Hispanic populations are the new battleground states -- and are part of the change that many people fear.
Palin and her fellow Republicans may play upon this fear of change, but the McCain campaign is no dummy.
Where was Palin campaigning yesterday? Carson City, Nevada.